Two Tough Ontario Elections: A Look Back at 1985 and 2018
Ontario's political landscape has witnessed its share of dramatic and closely contested elections. While many elections have been significant, two stand out for their intensity and lasting impact: the 1985 election and the 2018 election. Both presented unique challenges and resulted in significant shifts in the province's political power dynamics. Let's delve into what made these two Ontario elections so tough.
The 1985 Election: A Battle Between Progressive Conservatism and the NDP
The 1985 Ontario election pitted the incumbent Progressive Conservative Party, led by Frank Miller, against a resurgent New Democratic Party (NDP) under the leadership of Stephen Lewis. The election was characterized by several key factors that contributed to its challenging nature:
A Divided Progressive Conservative Party:
Internal divisions within the PC party weakened Miller's campaign. Policy disagreements and leadership challenges hampered their ability to present a united front against the NDP's growing momentum. This internal strife directly impacted their ability to effectively communicate their platform to voters.
The Rise of the NDP:
The NDP, capitalizing on public discontent with the PCs, presented a compelling alternative. Lewis, a charismatic and well-respected figure, effectively articulated the party's platform, tapping into the anxieties of the electorate. Their strong showing significantly threatened the PC's hold on power.
A Close Finish and a Minority Government:
The election resulted in a minority government for the PCs, highlighting the deep divisions within the electorate. The close margin of victory underscored the public's dissatisfaction with the status quo and desire for change. This fragile mandate forced Miller into a period of political instability and negotiation, ultimately leading to his downfall and the election of David Peterson's Liberals.
The 2018 Election: Ford's Surprise Victory and the Rise of Populism
The 2018 Ontario election saw the Progressive Conservative Party, led by Doug Ford, achieve a surprising majority government victory against the incumbent Liberals under Kathleen Wynne. This election proved equally tough, due to a number of factors:
The Liberal's Declining Popularity:
Years of governing had taken their toll on the Liberal Party's popularity. Widespread public dissatisfaction with their handling of various issues, including hydro prices and healthcare, created an opening for opposition parties.
Doug Ford's Populist Appeal:
Ford's campaign successfully tapped into a populist sentiment, promising change and simpler governance. His down-to-earth style and focus on reducing taxes resonated with many voters who felt disillusioned with the established political order. This appeal cut across traditional party lines and surprised many political pundits.
A Closely Fought Campaign:
While the PCs ultimately won a majority, the campaign was incredibly tight. The NDP, led by Andrea Horwath, ran a strong campaign, attracting significant support and challenging the PCs in many ridings. This close contest kept the electorate engaged until the very end, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty and tension.
The Aftermath and Lasting Impact:
Ford's victory marked a significant shift in Ontario's political landscape. His government implemented substantial changes, impacting various sectors, including education, healthcare, and the environment. His election also signaled a growing trend of populism in Canadian politics.
Conclusion: Lessons from Tough Elections
Both the 1985 and 2018 Ontario elections demonstrate the volatility of the provincial political scene. These elections highlight the importance of understanding public sentiment, adapting to changing political climates, and the impact of strong leadership. They also reveal how internal party divisions and the rise of populist movements can significantly shape electoral outcomes. Analyzing these past elections provides valuable insights for understanding future political dynamics within Ontario. The lessons learned from these tough elections serve as a reminder of the ever-evolving nature of political power in the province.